{"id":2292,"date":"2025-09-15T17:23:46","date_gmt":"2025-09-15T15:23:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/canalregionaltv.md\/?p=2292"},"modified":"2025-09-15T17:23:46","modified_gmt":"2025-09-15T15:23:46","slug":"dumitru-slonovschi-experienta-sondajelor-arata-ca-50-din-indecisi-aleg-partide-de-stanga","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/canalregionaltv.md\/?p=2292","title":{"rendered":"Dumitru Slonovschi: experien\u021ba sondajelor arat\u0103 c\u0103 50% din indeci\u0219i aleg partide de st\u00e2nga"},"content":{"rendered":"

Experien\u021ba sondajelor anterioare arat\u0103 c\u0103 50% din indeci\u0219i aleg partide de st\u00e2nga. Opinia apar\u021bine directorului Companiei \u201eMagenta Consulting\u201d, Dumitru Slonovschi, \u0219i a fost exprimat\u0103 \u00een cadrul\u00a0dezbaterii publice<\/a>\u00a0<\/strong>\u201eDe ce este capabil electoratul c\u00e2nd \u00eei vine r\u00e2ndul s\u0103-\u0219i aleag\u0103 guvernarea?\u201d, organizat\u0103 de Agen\u021bia de pres\u0103 IPN. Slonovschi a prezentat mai multe tendin\u021be observate \u00een studiile sociologice recente \u0219i a subliniat fenomene care influen\u021beaz\u0103 tabloul electoral din Republica Moldova.<\/h4>\n

\u00cen cadrul dezbaterii, Dumitru Slonovschi a atras aten\u021bia asupra cre\u0219terii vizibile a refuzului cet\u0103\u021benilor de a participa la sondaje, un fapt care complic\u0103 analiza comportamentului electoral.<\/p>\n

\n

\u201eAvem un fenomen nou. \u00cen ultimul an observ\u0103m un num\u0103r mai mare a persoanelor care nu doresc s\u0103 participe la sondaje. \u00cen cazul sondajelor la telefon, rata de refuz este mult mai mare fa\u021b\u0103 de anii preceden\u021bi. Chiar \u0219i \u00een cazul sondajului fa\u021b\u0103 \u00een fa\u021b\u0103, rata de refuz a crescut cu 7-10%. Ceea ce \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 avem un segment din societate \u00een privin\u021ba c\u0103ruia nu putem s\u0103 prevedeam care este atitudinea sa politic\u0103\u201d, a explicat directorul Companiei \u201eMagenta Consulting\u201d, Dumitru Slonovschi.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Potrivit sociologului, situa\u021bii similare au fost atestate \u0219i \u00een alte \u021b\u0103ri. De exemplu, \u00een Rom\u00e2nia, unde, \u00eenainte de alegerile preziden\u021biale, scorul reflectat \u00een sondaje pentru unii candida\u021bi a fost mult mai mare dec\u00e2t rezultatul real ob\u021binut la vot. Ulterior, analizele au demonstrat c\u0103 o parte semnificativ\u0103 din popula\u021bie nu a dorit s\u0103 r\u0103spund\u0103 \u00eentreb\u0103rilor sociologilor, ceea ce a distorsionat imaginea de ansamblu.<\/p>\n

\n

\u201eAcest fenomen nu este unul absolut deosebit. Acest fenomen s-a v\u0103zut \u0219i \u00een SUA \u0219i este numit \u201eTrump efect\u201d. \u00cenainte de alegeri, la fel, a fost o rat\u0103 foarte mare a celor care nu doresc s\u0103 participe \u00een sondaje. Peste Prut, \u00een Rom\u00e2nia, \u00eenainte de alegerile preziden\u021biale, c\u00e2nd Georgescu a avut un scor mult prea mare comparativ cu cel prezis de sociologi. Ulterior, sociologii au analizat situa\u021bia \u0219i au v\u0103zut c\u0103 o parte important\u0103 a popula\u021biei a refuzat s\u0103 participe la sondaje. Asta \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 \u00een Republica Moldova avem 7-10% din popula\u021bie care nu particip\u0103 la niciun sondaj\u201d, a mai spus Dumitru Slonovschi.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Un alt aspect subliniat de sociolog este legat de categoria indeci\u0219ilor, care joac\u0103 un rol cheie \u00een stabilirea rezultatelor finale ale scrutinelor. \u201eMai avem 20% din responden\u021bi care sunt indeci\u0219i. Din experien\u021ba ultimilor ani, vedem c\u0103 cei indeci\u0219i pot fi \u00eemp\u0103r\u021bi\u021bi. 50% ar fi votan\u021bii de st\u00e2nga, 25% din cei indeci\u0219i r\u0103m\u00e2n indeci\u0219i, iar 25% sunt indeci\u0219i, dar au \u00eenclina\u021bie spre dreapta. Acesta ar fi portretul aleg\u0103torului, la moment. Inten\u021bia de vot \u00eentotdeauna este mare declarativ \u00eenainte de vot. \u00cen sondaje 80% spun c\u0103 vor participa la vot, ca ulterior s\u0103 vedem c\u0103 particip\u0103 mult mai pu\u021bini\u201d, a precizat Dumitru Slonovschi.<\/p>\n

Dezbaterea public\u0103 la tema \u201eDe ce este capabil electoratul c\u00e2nd \u00eei vine r\u00e2ndul s\u0103-\u0219i aleag\u0103 guvernarea?\u201d este a 333-a edi\u021bie din ciclul \u201eDezvoltarea culturii politice \u00een dezbateri publice\u201d. Agen\u021bia IPN desf\u0103\u0219oar\u0103 acest ciclu cu sprijinul Funda\u021biei germane Hanns Seidel.<\/p>\n

Articolul Dumitru Slonovschi: experien\u021ba sondajelor arat\u0103 c\u0103 50% din indeci\u0219i aleg partide de st\u00e2nga<\/a> apare prima dat\u0103 \u00een NordNews<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Experien\u021ba sondajelor anterioare arat\u0103 c\u0103 50% din indeci\u0219i aleg partide de st\u00e2nga. Opinia apar\u021bine directorului Companiei \u201eMagenta Consulting\u201d, Dumitru Slonovschi, \u0219i a fost exprimat\u0103 \u00een […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2292","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\nDumitru Slonovschi: experien\u021ba sondajelor arat\u0103 c\u0103 50% din indeci\u0219i aleg partide de st\u00e2nga - Canal Regional<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/canalregionaltv.md\/?p=2292\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Dumitru Slonovschi: experien\u021ba sondajelor arat\u0103 c\u0103 50% din indeci\u0219i aleg partide de st\u00e2nga - Canal Regional\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Experien\u021ba sondajelor anterioare arat\u0103 c\u0103 50% din indeci\u0219i aleg partide de st\u00e2nga. 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